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Federal Reserve Maintains Interest Rates Amid High Expectations for 2024 Rate Reductions

Key Points from the Federal Reserve Meeting

  • The Federal Reserve has decided to maintain its benchmark interest rates at 5.25-5.50 per cent for the fifth consecutive meeting.
  • Despite persistent inflation concerns, the Federal Reserve remains poised for potential rate cuts in 2024.
  • The Fed’s decision aims to balance maximum employment and stable inflation objectives.
  • The central bank foresees three potential rate cuts in 2024, signaling a shift in monetary policy.

Revised Economic Projections

The Federal Reserve has revised its economic projections:

  • Anticipating a stronger GDP growth rate of 2.1 per cent for 2024.
  • ‘Core’ inflation projection slightly raised to 2.6 per cent.
  • Unemployment rate forecast adjusted downward to 4 per cent for 2024.

Market Reaction and Investor Optimism

Following the Fed’s announcement:

  • The S&P 500 surpassed the historic 5,200-mark for the first time, signaling investor optimism.
  • The Nasdaq 100 experienced a notable uptick.
  • Bond yields exhibited a downward trend, with two-year yields declining by seven basis points.
  • The yield on 10-year Treasuries dropped by two basis points.

Federal Reserve’s Strategy Adjustment

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell indicated a forthcoming adjustment:

  • Plans to slow the pace of asset sales in the near future.
  • Aims to mitigate liquidity concerns and provide greater flexibility to address economic challenges.

Future Rate Cut Possibility

Despite maintaining a steady stance on rates:

  • Powell reiterated the likelihood of initiating rate cuts later in the year, contingent upon economic data.
  • Market indicators suggest a 75 per cent probability of the first rate cut occurring during the June 11-12 meeting.
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