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BOJ to Keep Rates Steady with Focus on Yen and Economic Recovery

Key Developments in Japan’s Monetary Policy

With the yen hovering near a 34-year low, investors are closely monitoring indications of a potential shift in Japan’s monetary policy stance to support the country’s economic recovery efforts.

Bank of Japan Policy Meeting

Analysts expect the Bank of Japan (BOJ) to maintain its benchmark interest rate unchanged following the conclusion of its two-day policy meeting. Governor Kazuo Ueda is likely to keep the short-term rate at 0 per cent to 0.1 per cent despite calls for tighter monetary policy.

Market Sentiment and Currency Dynamics

Concerns over the yen’s depreciation have prompted Japan’s finance minister to caution against excessive currency movements. The yen weakening to 154.85 against the dollar adds pressure on the BOJ to manage currency dynamics while ensuring financial stability and economic resilience.

BOJ’s Bond-Buying Activities

The BOJ’s bond-buying activities continue to influence market sentiment, with investors awaiting potential adjustments to bond purchasing guidelines. The central bank’s approach to bond purchases is seen as crucial for its broader normalisation strategy and monetary policy transmission.

Inflation Forecasts and Economic Indicators

Analysts anticipate the BOJ to revise its inflation forecasts for the current fiscal year and beyond, considering factors such as the recent surge in oil prices and positive outcomes from spring wage negotiations. Governor Ueda’s mention of potential interest rate adjustments in response to rising inflation adds to the vigilance over the central bank’s guidance.

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